---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Michael Sivak sivakappliedresearch@gmail.com Date: Thu, Jul 19, 2018 at 2:34 PM Subject: Re: [At-network] The impact of young peoples' choices on traffic planning

Beth,

The second publication has data through 2016.

A corrected link is below.

• *Has motorization the U.S. peaked?* http://www.umich.edu/%7Eumtriswt/PDF/SWT-2018-2.pdf

Regards,

Michael

Michael Sivak, Ph.D. Managing Director Sivak Applied Research Web: www.sivakappliedresearch.com Email: sivakappliedresearch@gmail.com

On Thu, Jul 19, 2018 at 11:29 AM, Zdan, Terry (MI) Terry.Zdan@gov.mb.ca

wrote:

• *Recent decreases in the proportion of persons with a driver's license across all age groups*

http://www.umich.edu/~umtriswt/PDF/UMTRI-2016-4.pdf

• *Has motorization the U.S. peaked?*

http://www.umich.edu/~Eumtriswt/PDF/SWT-2018-2.pdf

happy trails

TZ

*From:* at-network-bounces@lists.umanitoba.ca < at-network-bounces@lists.umanitoba.ca> *On Behalf Of *Charles Feaver *Sent:* July-19-18 10:47 AM *To:* at-network@lists.umanitoba.ca *Subject:* [At-network] The impact of young peoples' choices on traffic planning

A good piece in the BBC about the impact of the younger generation’s decreased interest in cars on traffic growth.

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-44849381

…In the 1990s, 80% of people were driving by 30; now this marker is only reached by 45.

Men under 30 are travelling only half the miles their fathers did.

The Commission on Travel Demand says this should lead to a government re-think about travel priorities.

It points out that people in general are driving much less than expected:

· People are travelling 10% fewer miles than in 2002 and spending 22 hours less travelling each year than a decade ago.

· There has been a 20% reduction in commuter trips per week since the mid 1990s

· Growth in car traffic has slowed. In the 1980s, it grew by 50% whereas in the decade to 2016 it grew by 2%

Yet BBC News has learned that next week the government is likely to forecast a rise in traffic of between 20% and 60% by 2040. …

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